Nifty hit a stop or the corrective up trend continues?
Nifty set to open below 24200, after a surprise closing at 24219.
As of 09:34 IST, 25 Aug
The market lose its steam as Nifty failed to cross 24300 again and fell to 24144 level before CAS action lead to a higher closing at 24219.
This puts market in a mix spot, a failure to surpass 24250 level in intraday may result in another selloff 24050-24000 level, while above 24300 market may regain strength.
The Global Scenario
Crude has climbed back above $93/bbl amid US threatening secondary sanctions and removing countries from US dollar system to put pressure on Iran.
Gold & silver charts are showing signs of another up move as dollar weakens and risk in US treasury reaches 2007-08 levels.
01 The Larger Picture
At 24752 nifty has completed 61.8% retracement for the entire fall and now breaching below the trend-line support of 23900 may resume down trend to 22500-22000 level in the coming month.
The market may see a tug of war between bulls & bears and may act as trend deciding factor between psychological support of 24000 and closing swing low of 23767.
The market moves on factors beyonds charts, understanding Geo-political developments to macro risk scenarios are important to be relative in the market. it.
Tips disappears, Tradzo stands with you.
02 Key Macro Risks Ahead
- 1.US sanction based Tariffs on India & China near BRICS summit.
- 2.Crude & Refining capacity around the world translating inflation in downstream crude products, Ureas shortage leading food security concerns
- 3.Escalation of US-Iran war to entire West Asia
- 4.Escalation from Pakistan front as US proxy to sabotage BRICS agenda of new global monetary system bypassing the US Dollar.
- 5.US Debt & housing collapse due to unwinding of Yen carry trade.
- 6.AI Bubble burst - AI maybe becoming popular and very successful tools in the right hands but for majority its just new dopamine, with sky high valuations and no signs of profits.
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Tradzo Research
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